{"id":84017,"date":"2021-02-10T00:34:20","date_gmt":"2021-02-10T00:34:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/?p=84017"},"modified":"2021-02-10T00:52:53","modified_gmt":"2021-02-10T00:52:53","slug":"guney-asya","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/2021\/02\/10\/guney-asya\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00fcney Asya Pazar\u0131na Genel Bak\u0131\u015f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/1&#8243;][vc_column_text]Pandemi s\u00fcrecinde uluslararas\u0131 ili\u015fkilerde en g\u00f6ze \u00e7arpan durum \u00fclkeler aras\u0131 azalan g\u00fcven oldu. \u00c7in ve Rusya gibi tek blok olan \u00fclkeler merkezi hareket ettiklerinden dolay\u0131 i\u00e7ten par\u00e7alanma ya\u015famazken, Bat\u0131 d\u00fcnyas\u0131 NATO\u2019dan, AB\u2019ye kadar her konuda bir da\u011f\u0131lma s\u00fcrecine girdi. NATO konusunda Fransa birli\u011fin i\u015flevinin bitti\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesiyle bir fitili ate\u015flerken, AB konusunda ise ekonomik kurtarma paketlerinde kuzey \u00fclkeleri ile g\u00fcney \u00fclkeleri birbirine kar\u015f\u0131 tav\u0131r ald\u0131lar. Sonunda anla\u015fmaya var\u0131lsa da birlik i\u00e7indeki \u00e7at\u0131rdamalar net bir \u015fekilde g\u00fcn y\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f oldu. Salg\u0131n\u0131n ilk d\u00f6nemlerinde birbirlerinin mallar\u0131na el koymalar\u0131 ise bug\u00fcnlerin ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ilk sinyallerinin verildi\u011fi and\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) Komisyonu, Koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131 krizinin Avrupa ekonomisini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclenden daha a\u011f\u0131r etkiledi\u011fini belirtti. Daha \u00f6nce a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2020 y\u0131l sonuna dair tahminlerini revize eden Komisyon, AB \u00fclkelerinde sene sonu itibari ile y\u00fczde 8,3&#8217;l\u00fck bir k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fanmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fini duyurdu. AB Komisyonu ge\u00e7en May\u0131s ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahmininde, &#8220;AB \u00fclkelerinin benzeri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f bir ekonomik durgunlu\u011fa s\u00fcr\u00fcklendi\u011fini&#8221; ifade ederek k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme beklentisini y\u00fczde 7,7 olarak kamuoyu ile payla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Ge\u00e7en seneye g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fen rakamlar ile AB\u2019de azalan ihracatlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 payla\u015fmak gerekirse; \u0130talya -%26.33, Fransa -%25.13, \u0130sve\u00e7 -%16.94, Bulgaristan -%16.89, \u0130ngiltere -%15.63, Almanya -%13.10 ihracatlar\u0131nda oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6nceki yaz\u0131lar\u0131mda \u00e7ok\u00e7a de\u011findi\u011fim konulardan biri d\u0131\u015f ticarette Avrupa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 ihracat\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmayaca\u011f\u0131yd\u0131. \u0130hracat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n Yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 50\u2019si Avrupa \u00fczerinden s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcl\u00fcrken, Arap pazar\u0131nda ve Ortado\u011fu\u2019da kan kayb\u0131 ciddi oranlarda. Libya krizinde Suudi Arabistan, M\u0131s\u0131r ve Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri pazar\u0131n\u0131 kaybettik. Suriye ile yar\u0131 sava\u015f hali ve Irak\u2019\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131r ihlali gerek\u00e7esiyle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye iki nota vermesi de g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurulursa orta vadede ciddi bir ekonomik bunal\u0131m\u0131 tetiklemesi \u00e7ok olas\u0131 g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Libya konusunda BAE ve Arabistan T\u00fcrkiye ticaretini en aza indirgese de as\u0131l tehlike burada de\u011fil, Libya \u00fczerinde uzun s\u00fcre hakim olan \u0130talya ve Kaddafi\u2019nin devrilmesinde \u00f6nemli rol oynayan, Fransa\u2019d\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye \u0130ngiltere ve ABD taraf\u0131ndan destekleniyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de bu \u00fclkeler art\u0131k AB\u2019de hakim ve g\u00fcvenilir m\u00fcttefikler de de\u011fildir. Anl\u0131k \u00e7\u0131kar de\u011fi\u015fimlerinde ise \u00e7abuk konum de\u011fi\u015ftirebilmekteler. Bu nokta da K\u0131br\u0131s \u00fczerinde yap\u0131lan manevralar ile Yunanistan ve G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s\u2019\u0131n da lobileri AB\u2019de etkin bir m\u00fcteffik olan Fransa ile hareket edecektir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomimizin y\u00fczde 50\u2019sini ba\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z AB\u2019den kopu\u015f bu politikalar devam ederse ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz gibi g\u00f6z\u00fckmekte. Ayasofya hamlesi t\u00fcm bu hareketleri \u00e7ok keskinle\u015ftirecektir. Uzun vadede de\u011fil, orta vade gibi bir s\u00fcrede ani de\u011fi\u015fikliklere haz\u0131r olmak gerekmekte.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>K\u0131sacas\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde G\u00fcney Asya pazar\u0131 ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere yeni pazarlara a\u00e7\u0131lacak ya da ekonomik olarak 100 senelik tarihinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc ya\u015fayacakt\u0131r. \u015eirketlere her yaz\u0131mda ve dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131mda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m uyar\u0131y\u0131 tekrar yap\u0131yorum; al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve ezberlenmi\u015f hareketlerden uzakla\u015f\u0131p, yenilik\u00e7i bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u00fcretmezseniz ciddi \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015fler ya\u015fayabilirsiniz. Ciddi krizler ezberd\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00f6ntemlerle a\u015f\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Just the other day I happened to wake up early. That is unusual for an engineering student. After a long time I could witness the sunrise. I could feel the sun rays falling on my body. Usual morning is followed by hustle to make it to college on time. This morning was just another morning yet seemed different.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":84023,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84017"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84017"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84017\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":84021,"href":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84017\/revisions\/84021"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84023"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84017"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84017"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.intelcon.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84017"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}